Weather forecast accuracy details for San Rafael, New Mexico

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (August)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   95.77% 65.28% 88.57% 88.57% 84.55%
The Weather Channel   95.83% 62.50% 86.11% 86.11% 82.64%
Foreca   93.06% 59.72% 87.50% 87.50% 81.94%
AerisWeather   86.11% 58.33% 87.50% 87.50% 79.86%
Weatherbit   90.28% 58.33% 83.33% 83.33% 78.82%
Pirate Weather   80.56% 45.83% 88.89% 90.28% 76.39%
World Weather Online   81.94% 44.44% 80.56% 80.56% 71.88%
Open-Meteo   90.28% 36.11% 76.39% 76.39% 69.79%
NWS Digital Forecast   80.56% 58.33% 62.50% 62.50% 65.97%
Persistence   63.64% 27.27% 81.82% 81.82% 63.64%
Wetter.com   70.83% 33.33% 73.61% 72.22% 62.50%
OpenWeather   88.89% 30.56% 62.50% 62.50% 61.11%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2024)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   87.02% 66.38% 87.69% 88.30% 82.35%
The Weather Channel   89.21% 56.74% 89.21% 89.21% 81.09%
Foreca   80.25% 58.48% 86.71% 86.71% 78.03%
AerisWeather   81.41% 56.45% 86.99% 87.19% 78.01%
NWS Digital Forecast   86.53% 55.00% 84.49% 84.49% 77.63%
Weatherbit   83.43% 47.30% 84.78% 84.78% 75.07%
Pirate Weather   66.76% 28.81% 87.57% 87.57% 67.68%
Open-Meteo   65.03% 19.17% 84.97% 84.97% 63.54%
World Weather Online   52.08% 17.68% 84.54% 84.54% 59.71%
OpenWeather   54.34% 10.98% 85.16% 85.16% 58.91%
Wetter.com   53.83% 18.21% 79.80% 79.70% 57.89%
Persistence   44.65% 35.16% 73.02% 73.02% 56.46%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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