Weather forecast accuracy details for Topeka, Kansas

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (December)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
AccuWeather   66.67% 65.59% 91.40% 88.17% 77.96%
Weather Underground   59.14% 63.44% 91.40% 91.40% 76.34%
The Weather Channel   56.99% 62.37% 92.47% 92.47% 76.08%
NWS Digital Forecast   59.14% 61.29% 89.25% 89.25% 74.73%
AerisWeather   58.06% 54.84% 89.25% 89.25% 72.85%
Foreca/Vaisala   54.84% 53.76% 90.32% 90.32% 72.31%
Dark Sky   55.91% 49.46% 90.32% 90.32% 71.51%
Weather News   44.09% 43.01% 94.62% 94.62% 69.09%
Wetter   55.91% 39.78% 89.25% 89.25% 68.55%
OpenWeather   52.69% 40.86% 88.17% 88.17% 67.47%
Weatherbit   49.46% 30.43% 90.32% 90.32% 65.14%
World Weather Online   36.56% 49.46% 82.80% 82.80% 62.90%
Persistence   20.29% 16.44% 60.87% 60.87% 39.62%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2022)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   70.64% 71.65% 89.10% 89.10% 80.12%
AccuWeather   72.00% 70.13% 88.22% 84.08% 78.61%
Weather Underground   70.64% 72.21% 84.86% 84.86% 78.14%
Dark Sky   66.76% 62.79% 86.06% 86.06% 75.42%
AerisWeather   64.08% 63.99% 85.41% 85.41% 74.72%
Foreca/Vaisala   65.28% 65.56% 83.84% 83.84% 74.63%
NWS Digital Forecast   66.98% 67.72% 80.93% 80.93% 74.14%
Weather News   56.39% 53.98% 81.76% 81.76% 68.47%
World Weather Online   46.26% 47.46% 81.16% 81.16% 64.01%
Wetter   45.34% 46.08% 80.89% 80.89% 63.30%
Weatherbit   55.25% 29.61% 84.15% 84.15% 63.29%
OpenWeather   45.06% 30.84% 83.75% 83.75% 60.85%
Persistence   21.81% 22.95% 61.57% 61.57% 41.97%

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The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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