Weather forecast accuracy details for Shonto, Arizona

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (July)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
AccuWeather   90.80% 88.51% 86.21% 86.21% 87.93%
Weather Underground   86.67% 86.67% 86.67% 86.67% 86.67%
The Weather Channel   86.67% 84.44% 86.67% 86.67% 86.11%
Wetter   67.78% 84.44% 85.56% 85.56% 80.83%
NWS Digital Forecast   83.33% 80.00% 75.56% 75.56% 78.61%
AerisWeather   84.44% 81.11% 72.22% 72.22% 77.50%
Foreca/Vaisala   83.33% 66.67% 80.00% 80.00% 77.50%
Weatherbit   75.56% 67.78% 80.00% 80.00% 75.83%
OpenWeather   68.89% 74.44% 70.00% 70.00% 70.83%
Dark Sky   74.44% 34.44% 86.67% 86.67% 70.56%
Persistence   57.58% 55.38% 60.61% 60.61% 58.54%
World Weather Online   46.67% 62.22% 61.11% 61.11% 57.78%
Weather News   21.67% 50.00% 56.67% 56.67% 46.25%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2021)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Weather Underground   91.41% 78.34% 92.72% 92.72% 88.80%
The Weather Channel   91.41% 77.50% 92.90% 92.90% 88.68%
AccuWeather   90.84% 79.94% 92.47% 89.24% 88.12%
Foreca/Vaisala   83.19% 76.56% 93.05% 92.53% 86.33%
AerisWeather   83.90% 72.75% 89.14% 89.14% 83.73%
NWS Digital Forecast   81.60% 69.25% 86.51% 86.51% 80.97%
Weatherbit   76.10% 52.52% 91.22% 91.22% 77.77%
Wetter   68.48% 56.73% 91.69% 91.69% 77.15%
OpenWeather   70.49% 57.42% 86.83% 86.83% 75.40%
World Weather Online   42.48% 60.50% 83.66% 83.66% 67.58%
Dark Sky   67.41% 17.65% 92.44% 92.44% 67.48%
Persistence   41.73% 41.06% 82.45% 82.45% 61.92%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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