Weather forecast accuracy details for Fairbanks, Alaska

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (December)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   45.56% 42.22% 90.00% 90.00% 66.94%
Microsoft   41.11% 42.22% 85.56% 85.56% 63.61%
World Weather Online   41.11% 48.89% 77.78% 77.78% 61.39%
Foreca   35.56% 41.11% 77.78% 77.78% 58.06%
AerisWeather   35.56% 38.89% 76.67% 76.67% 56.94%
OpenWeather   27.78% 27.78% 83.33% 83.33% 55.56%
Weatherbit   35.56% 37.78% 73.33% 73.33% 55.00%
Open-Meteo   16.67% 13.33% 91.11% 91.11% 53.06%
NWS Digital Forecast   26.74% 27.91% 77.91% 77.91% 52.62%
Pirate Weather   32.22% 21.11% 87.78% 67.78% 52.22%
Wetter.com   28.89% 34.44% 63.33% 57.78% 46.11%
Persistence   23.33% 13.33% 67.78% 67.78% 43.06%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2025)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   73.74% 66.25% 81.41% 81.32% 75.68%
The Weather Channel   71.92% 60.67% 80.62% 80.62% 73.46%
Foreca   64.29% 59.44% 77.90% 77.90% 69.88%
AerisWeather   63.04% 59.30% 78.09% 76.54% 69.24%
Open-Meteo   55.25% 50.39% 78.96% 78.96% 65.89%
NWS Digital Forecast   62.14% 49.76% 74.10% 74.10% 65.02%
Weatherbit   44.64% 51.50% 75.92% 75.92% 61.99%
OpenWeather   48.98% 46.59% 75.53% 75.53% 61.66%
Pirate Weather   46.68% 40.89% 75.68% 70.08% 58.33%
World Weather Online   44.69% 46.94% 65.44% 65.44% 55.63%
Wetter.com   38.23% 31.88% 72.64% 72.35% 53.78%
Persistence   34.35% 32.10% 61.56% 61.56% 47.39%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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