Weather forecast accuracy details for Saint Paul, Minnesota

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (February)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   76.47% 71.08% 92.94% 96.47% 84.24%
AccuWeather   77.22% 70.89% 91.14% 91.14% 82.59%
The Weather Channel   66.67% 59.77% 94.25% 94.25% 78.74%
Foreca/Vaisala   58.62% 62.07% 96.55% 96.55% 78.45%
Weatherbit   60.92% 64.37% 89.66% 89.66% 76.15%
NWS Digital Forecast   58.62% 58.62% 89.66% 89.66% 74.14%
AerisWeather   52.87% 60.92% 87.36% 87.36% 72.13%
Pirate Weather   57.47% 39.08% 93.10% 93.10% 70.69%
World Weather Online   50.57% 49.43% 89.66% 89.66% 69.83%
Open-Meteo   56.32% 42.53% 88.51% 88.51% 68.97%
Wetter   41.38% 50.57% 90.80% 91.95% 68.68%
OpenWeather   54.02% 27.59% 91.95% 91.95% 66.38%
Persistence   22.95% 36.51% 86.89% 86.89% 58.31%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2023)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   79.73% 78.08% 87.12% 87.12% 83.01%
Microsoft   80.41% 76.31% 85.26% 85.26% 81.81%
AccuWeather   79.24% 76.99% 83.03% 81.61% 80.22%
AerisWeather   73.97% 76.71% 82.74% 82.92% 79.09%
Foreca/Vaisala   75.34% 73.79% 82.37% 82.37% 78.47%
NWS Digital Forecast   74.38% 74.75% 76.74% 76.74% 75.65%
Weatherbit   70.48% 70.30% 74.67% 75.14% 72.65%
Wetter   64.02% 59.63% 83.65% 80.82% 72.03%
Pirate Weather   59.62% 39.74% 84.98% 84.98% 67.33%
OpenWeather   54.70% 44.29% 77.90% 77.90% 63.70%
World Weather Online   53.96% 52.15% 73.26% 73.26% 63.16%
Persistence   29.62% 30.83% 57.87% 57.87% 44.04%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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