Weather forecast accuracy details for Bagdad, Arizona

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (February)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
AccuWeather   90.54% 68.92% 91.89% 91.89% 85.81%
The Weather Channel   90.48% 70.24% 90.48% 90.48% 85.42%
Foreca/Vaisala   85.71% 69.05% 91.67% 91.67% 84.52%
Microsoft   75.68% 71.62% 93.24% 93.24% 83.45%
NWS Digital Forecast   94.05% 65.48% 85.71% 85.71% 82.74%
Weatherbit   88.10% 64.29% 89.29% 89.29% 82.74%
AerisWeather   89.29% 59.52% 85.71% 86.90% 80.36%
Open-Meteo   83.33% 33.33% 86.90% 86.90% 72.62%
OpenWeather   69.05% 30.95% 88.10% 88.10% 69.05%
Pirate Weather   72.62% 15.48% 92.86% 92.86% 68.45%
World Weather Online   61.90% 32.14% 85.71% 85.71% 66.37%
Persistence   31.67% 25.00% 61.67% 61.67% 45.00%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2023)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   93.52% 80.09% 91.32% 91.32% 89.06%
Microsoft   90.04% 78.22% 90.14% 90.14% 87.13%
Foreca/Vaisala   87.67% 79.18% 89.68% 89.68% 86.55%
AccuWeather   90.90% 73.96% 88.34% 88.15% 85.34%
AerisWeather   85.11% 74.34% 88.22% 88.68% 84.09%
NWS Digital Forecast   81.42% 72.92% 85.95% 85.95% 81.56%
Weatherbit   81.61% 62.03% 88.29% 88.38% 80.08%
Pirate Weather   84.07% 28.11% 90.02% 90.02% 73.05%
OpenWeather   81.55% 35.07% 87.40% 87.40% 72.85%
World Weather Online   68.39% 43.27% 89.02% 89.02% 72.42%
Persistence   45.08% 38.86% 76.91% 76.91% 59.44%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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