Weather forecast accuracy details for Arapahoe, Wyoming

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (February)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   79.52% 53.01% 83.13% 78.31% 73.49%
The Weather Channel   54.02% 62.07% 83.91% 83.91% 70.98%
Foreca/Vaisala   64.37% 48.28% 81.61% 81.61% 68.97%
Weatherbit   50.57% 58.62% 81.61% 81.61% 68.10%
Open-Meteo   39.08% 43.68% 88.51% 88.51% 64.94%
AccuWeather   60.00% 51.35% 73.33% 74.67% 64.84%
NWS Digital Forecast   62.07% 49.43% 73.56% 73.56% 64.66%
AerisWeather   47.13% 56.32% 77.01% 77.01% 64.37%
Wetter   40.23% 49.43% 81.61% 77.01% 62.07%
OpenWeather   36.78% 47.13% 78.16% 78.16% 60.06%
World Weather Online   39.08% 28.74% 78.16% 78.16% 56.03%
Pirate Weather   26.44% 24.14% 83.91% 83.91% 54.60%
Persistence   33.33% 22.95% 55.00% 55.00% 41.57%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2023)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   65.92% 71.90% 89.42% 89.42% 79.16%
Microsoft   68.01% 70.15% 87.96% 87.96% 78.52%
Foreca/Vaisala   59.29% 63.12% 86.17% 86.17% 73.68%
AccuWeather   69.35% 69.38% 76.66% 78.21% 73.40%
AerisWeather   57.33% 61.90% 84.31% 84.40% 71.99%
Weatherbit   60.70% 64.37% 77.51% 77.51% 70.02%
NWS Digital Forecast   48.72% 62.37% 77.05% 77.05% 66.30%
World Weather Online   55.62% 51.12% 78.91% 78.91% 66.14%
Wetter   53.10% 37.73% 82.15% 79.77% 63.19%
OpenWeather   56.30% 36.23% 79.94% 79.94% 63.10%
Pirate Weather   40.94% 32.68% 86.65% 86.65% 61.73%
Persistence   26.98% 31.48% 61.21% 61.21% 45.22%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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