Weather forecast accuracy details for Fresno, California

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (March)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   97.85% 88.17% 91.40% 91.40% 92.20%
AerisWeather   96.77% 83.87% 89.25% 89.25% 89.78%
NWS Digital Forecast   97.85% 83.87% 88.17% 88.17% 89.52%
Foreca/Vaisala   95.70% 88.17% 87.10% 87.10% 89.52%
Microsoft   94.19% 88.37% 87.21% 83.72% 88.37%
Weatherbit   98.92% 87.10% 81.72% 81.72% 87.37%
AccuWeather   87.78% 87.78% 85.56% 87.78% 87.22%
World Weather Online   84.95% 73.12% 84.95% 84.95% 81.99%
OpenWeather   80.65% 75.27% 86.02% 86.02% 81.99%
Open-Meteo   80.65% 63.44% 88.17% 88.17% 80.11%
Wetter   81.72% 68.82% 78.49% 78.49% 76.88%
Pirate Weather   74.19% 48.39% 90.32% 90.32% 75.81%
Persistence   36.99% 64.38% 61.64% 61.64% 56.16%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2023)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Microsoft   91.94% 88.83% 94.14% 94.14% 92.26%
The Weather Channel   89.13% 89.22% 94.52% 94.52% 91.85%
AccuWeather   89.95% 88.83% 93.46% 93.27% 91.38%
AerisWeather   87.49% 90.78% 93.15% 93.15% 91.14%
Foreca/Vaisala   91.14% 81.00% 93.33% 93.33% 89.70%
NWS Digital Forecast   89.02% 86.06% 91.60% 91.60% 89.57%
Weatherbit   82.83% 85.11% 92.84% 92.84% 88.40%
Wetter   72.97% 76.99% 92.60% 92.88% 83.86%
Pirate Weather   70.52% 44.44% 93.94% 93.94% 75.71%
OpenWeather   70.32% 47.95% 91.23% 91.23% 75.18%
World Weather Online   53.71% 60.95% 90.38% 90.38% 73.86%
Persistence   45.93% 48.27% 82.75% 82.75% 64.92%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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